Probable maximum flood is 

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Gujarat Engineering Service 2017 Official Paper (Civil Part 1)
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  1. an impossibly large flood discharge
  2. largest flood that could conceivably occur at a particular location
  3. a flood with maximum probability of occurrence
  4. the maximum possible flood which is probable for that year 

Answer (Detailed Solution Below)

Option 2 : largest flood that could conceivably occur at a particular location
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Gujarat Engineering Service 2019 Official Paper (General Studies)
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Explanation

Probable Maximum Flood (PMF):

This is the flood resulting from the most severe combination of critical meteorological and hydrological conditions that rare reasonably possible in the region.

It is computed by using the Probable Maximum Storm (PMS) which is an estimate of the physical upper limit to storm rainfall over the catchment.

Standard Project Flood (SPF):

This is the flood resulting from the most sever combination of meteorological and hydrological conditions considered reasonably characteristic of the region.

The SPF is computed from the Standard Project Storm (SPS) over the watershed considered and may be taken as the largest storm observed in the region of the watershed.

It is not maximized for the most critical atmospheric conditions but it may be transposed from an adjacent region to the watershed under consideration.

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